Looks like the US is becoming a dictatorship as expected

[Admin]

The writings has been on the walls for a while with the trajectory being rather obvious for people who pay attention.

I predicted based on the increased polarization and game-theory that the two sides would increasingly turn against each other to the point where one seed would see it necessary to crush the other side before the other side does that to them.

https://youtu.be/BrAb22L0fQc?si=4Iy3ULxBhtaMc-t2&t=1919

I even mentioned a potential invasion of canada after a republican president becomes dictator.

To end democracy in the US you only need the following 3

0. The presidency.
1. 34+ senators who are not going to remove the president from office in the senate impeachment trial.
2. enough loyalists in the military
3. At least 13 states unwilling to approve a change to the constitution that would preserve democracy.

Trump has 0 and 1 and 3 and should be able to get 2 if he isn't there already.

Right now it looks like the trump administration is increasingly ignoring the courts pushing further and further knowing that the courts cannot actually enforce anything since they are not the ones in control over the military, they are just some clerks with fancy titles who rely on other people respecting their shaky authority.

https://www.cleveland.com/news/2025/02/what-consequences-will-trump-face-if-he-simply-ignores-the-courts-probably-nothing-experts-say.html

It remains to be seen to what extent the Trump administration is going to bother doing what courts tell them to do when they can ignore courts and do what they want.

Ignoring the courts will come back to bite the republicans once the democrats win and are able to do the same.

That however assumes that there will be fair elections held where there is any real chance of a non-republican president actually winning. What prevents them from rigging the election so hard there is no way for JD vance (or who-ever takes over after Trump) to lose assuming there are going to be any more presidential elections to begin with.

 

[Admin]

The faith in the system is already basically gone
Of course a lot of people are still in denial thinking "surely it cannot happen here, not in america" and discard people warning them as people who are hysterical and over-reacting.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/653897/americans-pass-judgment-courts.aspx

We have also seen various agencies/institution fail at pretty much everything when it came to the more difficult challanges. Lot of bad decisions were made when trying to handle the sars-cov-2 outbreak and that's just one of man examples where institutions screwed up badly.

https://vintologi.com/threads/about-covid-19-lockdowns.821

So it's not really surprising that people ended up putting their faith in someone like RFK jr, he might even do a better overall job despite all his crazy beliefs.

So a democrat somehow becoming president 2029 is not going to change the bigger trend towards authoritarianism, it will maybe get us some better form of it but that's the only thing we can really hoping. Would a democrat president taking over after Trump actually be stupid enough not to end democracy and put and end to the misery? (allowing republicans to gain dictatorial power instead).

Trump winning against in 2024 was a very hard blow to the democratic left-liberal establishment since they assumed "surely people are not going to vote him into office again after everything that happened" but he simply kept getting more and more support, Trump was good at selling himself via podcasts, etc.

Trump made people think he was their guy (people projecting their views upon him) and here Trump not clearly explaining his plans actually helped him. Some have regretted their vote now but it's a bit late for that now. Still most Trump voters like what he is doing and will say "this is what i voted for". People will keep making excuses as he failed at actual governance, as usual people who are good at selling themselves are rarely particularly good at actually governing.

We can expect a lot of things to be destroyed by Trump, that will to a significant extent actually be a good thing but there will be a lot of collateral damage to the point where i am unsure if it was a gamble worth taking, not sure how much of that is even my problem to begin with though as someone living in Sweden.

Authoritarianism when done well enough is actually better than democracy so it doesn't have to be a bad thing. I wouldn't get my hopes up however since there isn't any reason to think this is going to end with some great dictatorship besides "maybe we get really lucky".

Maybe americans will finally realize how stupid their "separations of power" idea was when presidents start to openly defy the courts (not sure why people didn't do that when Andrew Jackson ignored the supreme court 1832).

We need strong unified governance.

 

[Admin]

What to do going forward (if you are american)
Consider leaving the united states if you have that opportunity. Moving to a blue state is no longer enough to keep yourself safe if you are a minority likely to be targeted by the administration.

Do not hold demonstrations since that could be used to justify invoking the insurrection act. At best it would do nothing.

In general it will be a bad idea to let authorities know your real political views.

Transitioning now in the US while still possible (even in red states) now comes with significantly more risk and i have a hard time recommending to most people currently considering it.

Getting yourself armed might be a good thing even if it isn't as politically useful as people think it is (people who actually use violence against the state tends to die quickly or end up in jail until they die).

 

[Admin]

The deplatforming risk
It's likely that the Trump administration will push tech giants to deplatform people and communities they dislike.

I recommend arching important political texts and make new ones that can be easily shared. One example of that is the transmaxxing manifesto where i made sure it would be something that could be very easily shared even if links/websites are taken down.

Even people like me who live outside the US will still likely be affected by deplatforming efforts since a lot of platforms we are currently operating are outright based in the US or have a significant presence in the US.

We might have to move away from .com domain, avoid US hosting, etc to and build websites and communities that cannot be easily reached by US authorities.

Right now Trump is speedrunning destroying relationships with allies to the point where most countries will have to simply ignore him and ideally have some nukes pointed at his ass ready to be launched if the US were to invade (he already threatened Denmark, etc). Him destroying relationships also mean that the US will lose a lot of influence (in the past they bought that by providing 'protection', etc).

I don't know how many of the spaces we have created that are going to make it. I do have a forum website that i archive regularly (i also have backup domains) but we don't have the same security for the platforms people are actually using (mainly discord but also youtube and reddit).

 

[Creamer]

there was never a democracy to begin with, its all just like a fake wrestling show.
AIPAC is the one running the show.

but I predict Trump will play the patriot role this term, because their current goal is a war with Iran,
which requires gullible blue pilled cannon fodder cucks, so he can't do too much censorship ATM.

he will double down of kikecines, and some other pro jewish crap.

what you can do is maybe get some food retail ETFs and other commodities, as those rise in value with wars.

 

[Admin]

If we look at the actual structure of the government the US system is arguably more prone towards becoming a dictatorship than the weimar germany system.

Hitler needed 75% of parliament to get the enabling act through while Trump in practice only needs 34 senators (of 100) to do what he wants (of course he might have to replace some military leaders but he is already doing that).

What kept the US system going (except minor hickups like a civil war) wasn't anything technical for how the government was structures, it was american culture and norms that were never actually put into the constitution.

 

[Admin]

there was never a democracy to begin with, its all just like a fake wrestling show.

Politicians still had to cater to potential voters a lot even if they often ignored them.

AIPAC is the one running the show.

Arguably elong musk has a lot more power than aipac now.

But musk is fine with israel bombing gaza into oblivion since it fits with his nazi-adjacient ideology anyway.

The hitlarian nazism was anti-jewish but you can have something similar but without the antisemitism (makes sense in the US where jews are not exactly unpopular as a minority to begin with).

 

[Creamer]

Politicians still had to cater to potential voters a lot even if they often ignored them.


Arguably elong musk has a lot more power than aipac now.

But musk is fine with israel bombing gaza into oblivion since it fits with his nazi-adjacient ideology anyway.

The hitlarian nazism was anti-jewish but you can have something similar but without the antisemitism (makes sense in the US where jews are not exactly unpopular as a minority to begin with).

Musk's dad is a JEw, elon is a jew, and most if not all his baby mommas are jews.

politicians make false promises, they break after elections. the voting is between side 1 and its controlled opposition.

 

[Creamer]

just so you know Elon is a Jewish name. אלון
it means Oak tree and its a common jew name.

 

[Admin]

Won't face consequences" doesn't mean "can do whatever he wants."

You cannot legally remove the president from his position without the support of 67+ senators.

Note that i did point out that you also need the military to stay loyal but he has the ability to put loyalists in leadership positions (which he is already doing) so they are going to follow through with his illegal orders.

He can simply keep pushing things further and further and then fire people who are unwilling to go along with the next step (and replace those people with hardcore loyalists) and if this continues far enough it will not even be possible to remove him from office via impeachment.

Of course in the US there are plenty of armed people and states have some enforcement power as well but a lot of armed citizens so there could be a civil war but the party with control over the official federal army would be at a massive advantage.

 

[Admin]

Impeachments and its limitations
In theory the president can still be removed via impeachment but if he has gotten a sufficiently loyal military on his side he can simply ignore that as well.

Right now he could probably be removed via impeachment but that currently couldn't even get through the house, we are not getting 67 senators for that any time soon.

The motion to impeach Nicolás Maduro technically passed but nothing happened, the executive simply stayed in place as if nothing had happened.

But without a formal impeachment vote we really cannot expect the military to not follow him even if his orders are illegal (some might be unwilling to but he can replace those people with loyalists such as J6 insurrectionists he pardoned).

What prevents the president from simply making sure senators who were going to vote to impeach him disappears? (or something else preventing them from voting), well if he goes that far there you can try to impeach him but wait that doesn't work anymore.

I actually think Trump believes himself he was saved by god when he was nearly assassinated. He probably believes that he was chosen by god to become emperor or something like that.

 

[Admin]

The constitution can be amended without congress
So far that option has never been used but it's possible for states to circumvent congress completely and call a new constitutional convention. You do however need 38 approvals for that to pass (out of 50).

While this could in theory be used to stop Trump the by far more likely outcome is the american equivalent to the enabling act where the constitution itself is amended to give Trump formal dictatorial power.

Trump might be able to coerce enough states to get a constitutional amendment through (such as by outright invading states who tries to defy him) and at that point the constitutional change would merely be a symbolic formality to further legitimize his rule. He doesn't actually need to formally change the constitition of course but he might do so anyway as a way to flex his power.

Hitler got 43% of the vote but still wrangled the riechtag to approve the enabling act (which required at least 2/3).

 

[adolf512]

This has progressed kinda like we were expecting

https://youtube.com/watch?v=goxSoGT7zU4

They are still doing the "we are following the courts" bullshit as they are blatantly ignoring them (stalling, bs excuses, etc).

Projection: mix between current russia and nazi germany.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RbPelwwuXVU

 

[Admin]

Basically what i expected to happen is happening right now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RbPelwwuXVU

I was actually thinking about what the best strategy for dealing with annoying courts when you are establishing yourself as a dictator and the strategy that came to mind was "why not just lie about what the court said and pretend they didn't rule against you and then ignore the ruling" and that's basically that the Trump administration has been doing for a while now. They are gradually testing the waters and pushing things further and further.

The purpose behind coming up with bullshit excuses and delay strategies when ignoring the courts was to give enough plausible deniability for people to start arguing with each other about it, those arguments of course are not going to go anywhere which is the point.

Step1: put people on plains to take them out of the US.
Step2: Ignore any judge telling them to stop the deportations "the judge doesn't have jurisdiction outside the US borders".
Step3: put people in CECOT/worse
Step4: ignore courts telling them to try to get those people back "courts cannot dictate foreign policy".
Step5: when the supreme court rules against you lie about the rulings and intentionally misinterpret it.

Courts can of course try to issue "contempt of court" rulings but they cannot really enforce that due to Trump being in control of the marshals service (via pam bondi) and more important the military. While the marchals service is not the only way for courts to try to enforce the rulings the bigger issue is that going up against the US military is rather suicidal.

So if the trump administration keep pushing hard against the courts and maintain control over the military (which isn't particularly hard) the courts will have to fold or outright get destroyed, Trump and people around him obviously knows this which is why they are doing what they are doing.

The Trump administration is obviously very incompetent on a lot of areas but they are definitely competent enough when it comes to destroying democracy and the "checks and balances" (that never really worked to begin with).

Stephen Miller actually come off as fairly intelligent, it's too bad he is basically a nazi (except Jews aren't the ones being targeted this time). Stephen Miller is one of the few who stayed loyal to and was kept by Trump during his entire last administration so he probably does have a lot of influence and he might be the one mainly in the driving seat at the moment (while Trump is playing golf, etc).

 

[Admin]

Immigrants is currently the main demographic they target
Trans people are still at risk and being targeted but that's to a lesser extent, that was actually to be expected since Trump personally don't care much about that issue to begin with.

It's difficult to asses the risk of trans people being sent to something like CECOT without trial (or show trial).

Something i did not foresee was them targeting people over tattoos. This illustrate the difficulty in predicting what the administration is going to do next.

Now they have started arresting judges.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/25/fbi-arrest-judge-hannah-dugan-milwaukee.html

They keep ramping up their assault on the judiciary and i don't see anything stopping them at the moment.

Sure Trump could eventually be replaced by someone else but i don't think we are going to somehow see a return to democracy in the US, instead some other more competent strong-man will take over to finish the job probably.

My guess is that Trump will be allowed to be president for the legal duration of his term and then be replaced by someone even worse (unless he dies before that).

 

[Admin]

Now they have started arresting judges.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/25/fbi-arrest-judge-hannah-dugan-milwaukee.html

They keep ramping up their assault on the judiciary and i don't see anything stopping them at the moment.

https://newrepublic.com/post/194453/donald-trump-attorney-general-pam-bondi-arrest-judge-warning

Sure Trump could eventually be replaced by someone else but i don't think we are going to somehow see a return to democracy in the US, instead some other more competent strong-man will take over to finish the job probably.

My guess is that Trump will be allowed to be president for the legal duration of his term and then be replaced by someone even worse (unless he dies before that).