Trump 'wins' re-election

[Admin]

He is now a 51.6% favorite to win according to betting odds

actionnetwork.com/politics/election-odds-predictions-trump-biden-betting-presidential-race-2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/

The final result will be determined by the supreme court where 3 justices have been appointed by trump, 3 by other republican presidents, 3 by democrat presidents. It is expected that the supreme court will role favourably towards Trump helping him steal the 2020 election from biden.

The result can be expected to swing more towards biden as mail-in ballots are counted, the republicans do not want these to be counted obviously.

 

[Admin]

Trump wins florida
This is bad news Joe Biden.

The closest battleground state is now North Carolina where Trump leads by 2 points, he can however afford to lose that state and all states that now lead blue.

 

[Admin]

"It's not over until every vote is counted"
Joe biden just claimed that but that's obviously false, Al Gore learned that the hard way when the supreme court stopped the counting and later it turned out he had actually gotten more votes in florida, the election was stolen from him just like how it will be stolen from joe biden (unless the republican justices are nice to him, doubt).

Biden would still be wrong even in a fair election once a majority of votes have been counted the election is over. In the United States all you need is to win the presidency is a majority in the electoral collage and once you got that the election is over and counting more votes isn't going to change that.

 

[Admin]

Social security in danger
The GOP has made no secret of its plans to privatize Social Security and Medicare. President Trump even signed an Executive Order to cut the payroll tax, which funds both programs.

forbes.com/sites/johnwasik/2020/11/02/why-social-security-is-gravely-imperiled-this-election-by-trump/?sh=62411b98112c

This is good news for people that are young and healthy people and would be a step in the right direction. We need to focus on the young and healthy, not the sick and dying.

 

[Admin]

Trump wins Texas
A lot of effort was put into turning texas blue, that was all in vain and now Trump is looking strong.

 

[Admin]

Georgia may decide the outcome
In georgia we have the following

Trump 50,7 % 2 366 242

Biden 48,1 % 2 248 032

93% reporting

https://www.270towin.com/

 

[Admin]

North Carolina
Donald Trump
Republican Party
50,1 %
2 732 104

Joe Biden
Democratic Party
48,7 %
2 655 392

94% reporting

 

[Admin]

Biden now leading in Wisconsin
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
49,4 %
1 579 258

Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,1 %
1 570 489

This is with 95% reporting

 

[Admin]

Betting odds now favor biden
Just an hour ago betting odds gave trump a 70.8% chance of winning but that has now collapsed all the way down to 38.5%

https://www.betfair.com/sport/politics

 

[Admin]

Biden getting close in Michigan
Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,9 %
2 334 557

Joe Biden
Democratic Party
48,5 %
2 269 215

87% reporting

North Carolina hasn't changed, instead the coloring system changed to be more generous to Trump.

 

[Admin]

Biden now leading in Michigan
Democratic Party
49,3 %
2 487 838

Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,2 %
2 484 138

 

[Admin]

Joe Biden pulling ahead in Michigan
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
49,4 %
2 518 923

Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,1 %
2 500 843

 

[Admin]

17.1% for Trump

 

[Admin]

The red mirage
As expected Trump looked really good initially but then things started collapsing for him

He of course used that as an opportunity to declare victory and then claim the election was being stolen from him

In reality he is the one trying to steal an election and he might still be able to pull that off.

 

[adolf512]

13.8% for Trump
The betting odds did recover breifly for Trump but now the implied chance of him winning is just 13.8%

 

[adolf512]

 

[adolf512]

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

5.5% for Trump

 

[Admin]

Georgia flips to Biden
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
49,4 %
2 449 371

Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,4 %
2 448 454

 

[Admin]

The colouring system was changed making it more generous towards Biden.

 

[Admin]

Pennsylvania flips to biden
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
49,5 %
3 295 327

Donald Trump
Republican Party
49,4 %
3 289 731

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

Biden continue to expand his lead in Pennsylvania and georgia

At this point the only way for Trump to win is having courts invalidate a significant amount of votes already counted for Joe Biden. Trump and some of his followers did earlier push for stopping the count but if that was just done now Trump would lose, one method for this is to retroactively invalidate votes based on new interpretations of current law, judging by the betting odds the supreme court will not steal the presidency from Trump and give it to Biden, this makes sense given the fact that Biden is a centre-right, some people even view him as a moderate republican, he is not really a treat to capitalism or the status quo.

 

[Admin]

Trump now needs to somehow win multiple lawsuits to win, this is unlikely to end well for him.

Kinda sad, he really loved conntecting with people on his rallies, he loved feeling important, unfortunatily his character flaws and finally very high voter turnout eventually lead to his downfall.

Trump ended up being essentially used by conservatives, he used to be pro-LGBT but then he implemanted the trans military ban and other bad policies for no good reason. He ended up being surrounded by conservatives and only watching conservative media.

He promised to rebuilt infrastructure but then he did nothing to actually do that.

 

[Admin]

Trump actually did really well in terms of the number of votes, it's the second highest (by far) in the history of united states.

 

[Admin]

Republican senators did better
The difference was the biggest in main but we also had georgia where republican senators did better than the president.

This can be explained by some republicans (maybe 1 in 50) voting for Joe BIden for president and then voting republican in the senate election.

 

[Admin]

There is talk about him starting Trump TV, alternatively he could just merge with OANN or just license his name.

He is a good entertainer and media stuff actually suit him, it's a better match than him being president.

Of course he will never admit he legitimately lost the election (or more accurately lost despite being helped by voter supression) he will claim the election wasn't fair to him and a lot of people will believe that nonsense until they die.

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

One mistake Trump did was to overly focus on Hunter Biden instead of policies like school-choice and government regulations.

But it's not only Trumps fault he lost (he is unlikely to prevail in courts), it's also the issue that the democrat entusiasm was very high, people were really excited about voting him out of office and this became his downfall. Republican states are to blame for failing to supress the vote enough for him to win the presidency.

 

[Admin]

 

[Admin]

Trump now raising money to pay off debt
He has always been a broke conman so this is not surprising.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-campaign-legal-defense-donations-debt/

For each contribution made to the Trump campaign's joint fundraising committee with the Republican National Committee, 60% will be deposited into the campaign's general election account for retirement of debt, or into the campaign's Recount Account if that debt has been paid off. The remaining 40% will go to the Republican National Committee's Operating account. Any additional money would be deposited in the party's Legal Proceedings Account or Headquarters account.

For donations to the Trump campaign specifically, 50% of each will go toward paying off its debt and the remaining 50% will be deposited into its Recount account.

The most recent federal campaign finance records available showed the Trump campaign with $60 million cash-on-hand at the beginning of October. The campaign would go on to spend upwards of $160 million on television ads in the final month before the election.

 

[adolf512]