Ukraine has started doing counter-attacks

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#1
We can see from https://deepstatemap.live that ukraine already made some minor territorial gains in some areas.

Earlier for example Ukraine secured the main road to bakhmut
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Later Ukraine did some minor advancements in Avdivka
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Here is another minor counter-offensive (couldn't be sustained):
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The terrotory here was taken April 6 and lost April 10 (2023).

Unfortunately overall it's still going slowly in the wrong direction in terms of territorial control which is a bad sign, sure the change is small but ukraine/EU/nato is the ones who should gain terrotiry, not russia/putin.

Ukraine did some minor gains here today:
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https://deepstatemap.live/en#11/48.8249/38.0886
 

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#3
Russia did a minor advancement in bakhmut bust ended up losing more ground elsewhere (if it's actual change and not correction):
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#5
Ukraine crossed the dnipro river
Russians where focused on taking bakhmut while ukrainians crossed the dnipro river to establish a foothold.


Russian milbloggers have provided enough geolocated footage and textual reports to confirm that Ukrainian forces have established positions in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast as of April 22 though not at what scale or with what intentions
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-22-2023

 

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#10
Ukraine resumes progress around bakmut, russia gain groun elsewhere
No major changes recently (5 days)
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What Ukraine is doing makes a lot of sense, they are slowly pushing to encircle bakmut after wagner has wasted tends of thousends of men taking most if it, if they get encircled all those russian men basically died for nothing.

The situation around bakhmut did look bad for ukraine earlier but now they are lost the areas which were the hardest to defend while they are attacking the blanks to further improve the situation. Now instead of Ukraine risking encirclement we might see prigozin having that faith, he might also die falling down a window.
 

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#11
Ukraine resumes progress around bakhmut after the belgorod/Bilhorod incident
Earliier after losing the bakhmut city ukraine allowed anti-putin russians to cross the border into belgorod to fight a civil war. These russians initially gained control over the area but they later had to largely abandon it due to facing resistance.


The progress around bakhmut has only been minor lately:
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Creamer

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#12
Post-Bakhmut Fiasco: Hohol Commanding Officer Shot by Subordinate for Ordering Unit to Go Die
The fallout from the lunatic bloodbath in Bakhmut has begun.

It’s totally unclear why tens of thousands of “Ukrainians” were sent to die in a city that could not possibly be held. At least six and probably eight months before the Russians raised their flags on the last mid-rise tower in Bakhmut, it was obvious that the city was going to fall and everyone who went there was going to die for no reason.

There are various theories as to why the Zelensky government chose to keep shoving bodies into this meat-grinder, against the advice of his own military leadership and, as we know from the big leaks, against the advice of many American advisors.

It’s possible:
  • He was buying time for the training of the supposed “new army” that he is beginning to deploy. These are troops trained by NATO in various foreign countries.
  • He was sending mostly ethnic Russians who he had force-conscripted (press-ganged), because he is purposefully trying to clear out the fighting-age male ethnic Russian population and this was an easy way to liquidate them.
There are other theories as well. Those two, however, both seem logical.

What does not seem logical is that it was about morale, which has been Zelensky’s claim. That is the opposite of the truth. Everyone knew the Russians would eventually win, like they did in Mariupol, and that this would be the biggest conceivable blow to Ukrainian morale.

The fallout from the morale-breaking defeat has already begun in earnest. A video recently posted to Telegram shows a Ukrainian commander with his brains popped out. The man filming his body is saying that the guy who shot him was a hero who saved the whole unit from certain death.

There is a person with long hair hovering over him with bandages while his brains are leaking out. It’s a rough-looking female-presenting creature, and I at first wondered if it was a tranny. Then I realized that only a real woman would be stupid enough to think she’s going to wrap a man’s brains back inside his head.

The question of why this wasn’t already happening constantly has been on my mind for at least a year. Ever since Zelensky started with the force-conscription, you would certainly think that you’d have serious hostility between the conscripts and the commanding officers, and that conscripts would rather shoot the CO and run towards the Russians with a white flag than just march off to die for no reason.

Or worse – get injured and then have your organs harvested with no anesthetic by the Zelensky regime, something which has been repeatedly confirmed by POWs.

Wagner does have a “no prisoners” policy in effect after the Ukies started releasing videos of themselves killing POWs. However, from what I’ve seen, this definitely does not apply to a Ukie running toward the Russian line waving his undershirt as a white flag.

The Zelensky Junta has somehow kept this from happening on a mass scale thus far, but it’s fair to say that now that everyone realizes that Zelensky refusing to pull troops from Bakhmut was effectively a mass murder of more than 50,000 of his own troops, you’re going to see a lot more COs getting their tops popped off and a lot more forced conscripts – greenbands – running for the Russian line with white flags.

Of course, I know exactly how the Ukrainians will respond to that, because I know how Jews think – they will start sending infiltration units with white flags, in order to try to force the Russians to kill defectors.

The Ukrainians have committed every single other war crime so far, so you can bet they will figure out a way to exploit the white flag.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perfidy

But then, the Ukrainians, if they’re smart, will start stripping down to their underwear – or just straight up go buck naked in nothing but their boots – when they wave the white flag.
 

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#13
Ukraine makes significant gains around Bakhmut
There has been a lot of talk about Ukraine doing a counteroffensive in the south to cut off the russian land-bridge to crimea but so far we don't see any territorial changes towards that actually happening, we only see progress around bakhmut.

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#14
Ukraine is ramping up their counter-offensive in the south
This time the main attack is coming in the direction we were expecting. Ukraine is going to sewer the russian land-bridge to Crimea.

Ukraine has conducted counteroffensive operations with differential outcomes in at least three sectors of the front as part of wider counteroffensive efforts that have been unfolding since Sunday, June 4. Ukrainian officials signaled that Ukrainian forces have transitioned from defensive to offensive operations in the Bakhmut sector and are making gains of between 200 meters and nearly two kilometers on the flanks of the city.[1] Ukrainian forces have made tactical gains during limited localized counterattacks in western Donetsk Oblast near the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border since June 4.[2] Ukrainian forces additionally conducted an attack in western Zaporizhia Oblast on the night of June 7 to 8 but do not appear to have made gains as part of this attack as of the time of this publication.

Ukrainian forces conducted a limited but still significant attack in western Zaporizhia Oblast on the night of June 7 to 8. Russian forces apparently defended against this attack in a doctrinally sound manner and had reportedly regained their initial positions as of June 8. Russian sources began reporting late at night on June 7 that elements of Ukrainian brigades that have recently been equipped with Western kit launched an attack southwest of Orikhiv in western Zaporizhia Oblast.[3] Several Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked along the Mala Tokmachka-Polohy line with the aim of breaking through the Russian defensive line between Robotyne and Verbove (both about 15km southeast of Orikhiv).[4] Russian sources acknowledged that Ukrainian forces broke through the first line of defense in this area, held by elements of the 291st and 70th Motorized Rifle Regiments (42nd Motorized Rifle Division, 58th Combined Arms Army, Southern Military District) and the 22nd and 45th Separate Guards Special Purpose (GRU) Brigades, but reported that these Russian elements succeeded in counterattacking and eventually pushing Ukrainian forces back to their original positions. Available geolocated combat footage suggests that limited Ukrainian forces crossed the N08 Polohy-Voskresenka highway, but Russian sourcing indicates that Russian forces likely pushed Ukrainians back in the Orikhiv direction towards the frontline and regained the lost positions.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-8-2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least four areas of the front on June 9. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces repelled limited and localized Ukrainian ground attacks in the Kreminna area.[1] Ukrainian officials stated on June 9 that Ukrainian forces advanced 1.2 kilometers in continued offensive operations near Bakhmut on June 8.[2] Ukrainian forces continued limited counteroffensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast near the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border on June 9, and made tactical gains in the area.[3] Ukrainian forces also continued ground attacks in western Zaporizhia Oblast overnight from June 8 to 9 and during the day on June 9, and a Russian source suggested that Ukrainian forces made incremental gains during the attacks.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-9-2023

It's currently unclear how successful the counter-offensive is. Ukraine is still holding back a lot of forces likely waiting to see where russia is weak to attack a lot harder where they have the hardest time defending.

 

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#15
Minor progress in the south
As expected the initial progress is rather limited due to ukraine attacking where russia expected. russia has spenth months fortifying those positions

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#16
Minor progress confirmed
Still no major breakthrough showed.
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Note that there ukrainians are rather restrictive when it comes to giving out info so there might be other advances that we are not being shown yet, we just have to wait and see.

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#18
Renewed progress around Bakhmut
Only minor changes in the south
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Instead Ukraine has started advancing in Bakhmut again:
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#19
Ukraine makes minor advancement and secure gains
The recent advancements from ukraine are very minor but they did manage to secure areas the captured earlier (now marked as blue)

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#20
Ukraine continues to make slow progress
russia is doing a much better job defending now than during the Kharkiv offensive.
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#21
Ukraine didn't pause their offensive
The talk about Ukraine pausing their offensive turned out to be nonsense, not only did ukrainian officials claim otherwise but we also see further Ukrainian gains now.
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#22
The Ukrainian advance has continued
Unfortunately nothing major confirmed despite the failed wagner coup.

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Mr.Andrews

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#23
ukraine has a big military now supported with older gen weapons such as the himars that still blow away most of the russian tech which is even older... now this war looks more like a profiteering scheme, but in any case ukraine has very very good chances since they got an impressive offensive military, some say it is the largest army in the world
 

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#24
Continued progress around Bakhmut
Russia is slowly losing the territory wagner wasted tends of thousands of men taking.
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#26
New progress north of Bakhmut
It seems like the Ukrainians are performing a pincer operation which has recently started.

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#27
Continued slow progress
The control map is very slowly improving in the right direction, still not even close to the speed we actually want to se.

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#28
Continued slow progress in the south
It remains to be seen if ukraine will be able to accelerate this to turn it into a bigger breakthrough.

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Very recently quicker further progress of Ukraine was shown at https://deepstatemap.live

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Here above the blue or green area stayed the same but the contested area changed drastically compared to earlier speeds of change.

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